Sat Oct 3 (day off) · 6:45–8:45am · 7' Skindog Ova (Sci-Fi 2.0 if sets run chest-high)
Small southern hemi: 15–16s SW (~224°) + 12s SSW (198°) crossing up the bars. Waist to chest (Ponto cam tonight: 3–4ft waist-to-chest; Surfline 2–3ft+ FAIR). Light Santa Ana: NE/E 5 mph at dawn, E 10 by 9am, gusty E 15 from 11am. Tide flat ~3.4ft 6–8am, rising to 5.2ft at 3pm. Glass-off backup 5:45–6:30pm. Runner-up: Tippers (better tide, angle a touch west, packed Saturday). Water ~73–75°F.
Data pulled Fri Oct 2 ~5:40pm PT (evening run, targeting Sat 10/3) · buoys + NOAA tides + NWS + Open-Meteo + Wavecast (Thu 10/1) + Surfline (LOTUS + Ponto Smart Cam).
Condition Gauges — 6:45–8:45am dawn
Tide — Saturday October 3 (La Jolla 9410230)
Ponto low-to-mid window (−1 to +3ft)session (6:45–8:45am dawn)tide height
Stoke Meter (6:45am dawn)
South Ponto scores 🟡: light offshore, 15s SW + 12s SSW combo peaks the bars, but the tide sits ~3.4ft — just above its −1 to +3ft window. Tippers is also 🟡: tide fine, but the main SW train (222–226°) is a touch west of the reef's prime; Ponto wins on angle and Saturday crowd. Blacks, Sunset Cliffs, Oceanside Harbor, and Windansea are excluded — ~3ft and wrong angle.
Days to Watch
Sun–Mon Oct 4–5: 2–3ft+ (work days). Tue–Wed Oct 6–7: Rachel S swell 165–175°, chest to head high at south-facing breaks. Thu Oct 8–Fri Oct 9 (days off): NZ SW 16s + fading Rachel; Cardiff LOTUS 4–6ft (Thu dawn FAIR TO GOOD), Ponto 5–7ft Fri — best days ahead. Tue Oct 13: Cardiff LOTUS 6–8ft.