Sun Oct 4 (shift 2pm) · 7:15–9:30am · 7'4" TJ Twinzer (9'5" Gem if it's ~2ft)
Small long-period SSW: 2ft @ 15s from 209° plus ~12s SSW underneath, about 2.5–3ft faces (Surfline 2–3ft+ Ponto, 2–3ft Cardiff). Light E/NE 5 mph offshore until ~9am, SE 5 by 10. Tide high 3.8ft at 6:40am, draining to 3.1ft at 10:45. Runner-up: South Ponto (tide above its window at dawn, 15s closeout risk). Water ~74°F.
Data pulled Sat Oct 3 ~5:45pm PT (evening run, targeting Sun 10/4) · buoys + NOAA tides + NWS + Open-Meteo + Surfline (LOTUS). Wavecast not fetched.
Condition Gauges — 7:15–9:30am
Tide — Sunday October 4 (La Jolla 9410230)
Ponto low-to-mid window (Tippers ≤4.5ft)session (7:15–9:30am)tide height
Stoke Meter (7:15am)
Tippers scores 🟡: SSW 206° optimal, 15s lines up on the reef, offshore wind, tide in window but slack/outgoing, and it's small (<3ft caps it). South Ponto is 🔴: 3.8ft dawn tide is above its window and 15s on straight bars risks closeouts. Blacks, Sunset Cliffs, Oceanside Harbor, Windansea excluded — too small.
Days to Watch
Mon–Wed Oct 5–7 (work days): 2–3ft+, building to 3–4ft by Tue–Wed. Thu Oct 8–Fri Oct 9 (days off): LOTUS Ponto 4–6ft Thu, 5–7ft Fri; Cardiff 4–5ft / 4–6ft — best days ahead. Tue Oct 13: Ponto LOTUS 8–10ft.