🌊 No work shift tomorrow (Saturday off) — full dawn window is open
A long-period SSW groundswell (~15s @ 190–200°) is mixing with a smaller WNW/WSW windswell — a real three-part combo per Surfline, which crosses up Ponto's bars into peaks instead of one closeout-prone wall. Wind is dead calm through 6am and stays light (≤5kt S) until the sea breeze fills around 11am. Tide is low (-0.6ft) at 2am, rising through a 3.4ft high at 8:38am — a clean low-to-mid incoming push for the whole dawn window.
Ponto gets the nod — the combo swell (S groundswell + windswell) spreads peaks across the bars, and with a Saturday crowd expected, more peaks beats one packed reef takeoff zone. Tippers is a near-identical score and the safer bet if Ponto's peaks are too crowded — Smart Cam already shows it running 3–4ft, a touch bigger than its own LOTUS call. Blacks doesn't clear the 4ft-face inclusion bar this swell (LOTUS only 2–3ft+) despite a qualifying-period SW train, so it's sitting out.
Days to Watch
Sun–Tue Jul 12–14 — same SSW angle (199–202°) holds through early next week as period eases toward 11.5–12s and size settles to ~2.2–2.3ft — smaller and more forgiving than tomorrow. Wavecast (Thu post) flags a potentially significant hurricane swell around Sun 7/19 with DOH+ sets at south-facing breaks, and another system being watched for 7/23–24 — both too far out to act on yet.