🌊 No work shift today (Friday off) — full dawn window is open
A long-period SSW groundswell — 196–201° @ 15–17s, ~4–5ft faces — is holding steadier than last night's forecast expected. Winds are calm through 8am before the SW sea breeze fills in around 9am. Tide is rising from near-zero overnight through a 3ft high at 7:39am, a clean low-to-mid incoming push for the dawn window.
Data from pull Fri Jul 10, ~6:10am PDT · buoys + NOAA + NWS + Open-Meteo + Wavecast (Thu 6:40am post). Surfline skipped — automated run, no browser bridge.
Tippers gets the nod — kelp-groomed reef lining the long-period S up into forgiving rights, no size-cap risk. South Ponto shares the swell/window but carries closeout risk at this period (15s+ on straight bars). Blacks clears its gates on paper but the canyon focus likely pushes it past the 6ft skill cap — sitting out today. Windansea similar story, plus the localism tax. Sunset Cliffs and Oceanside Harbor miss their angle gates entirely on this S-only swell.
Days to Watch
Sat–Tue Jul 11–14 — same SSW angle (199–200°) holds through the weekend as period eases toward 11–12s and size settles to ~2.2–2.3ft — smaller, cleaner, more forgiving than today. Wavecast (Thu post) flags a possible hurricane swell around 7/19 with DOH sets and ~14ft faces at ~18s period — worth watching, too far out to act on yet.