A small, clean SSW swell (2.1ft @ 13s from 207°) is wrapping the reef exactly the way Tippers likes — long-period south lining up into forgiving rights instead of closing out. Glass through ~7am, then a light WNW sea breeze fills in. Tide bottoms at -1.6ft right at first light and floods hard through the session — low-to-mid and incoming the whole window.
Data from evening-surf-call, pulled Tue Jul 14 ~12:30am PDT · buoys + NOAA + NWS + Open-Meteo + Wavecast (Sun 7/12 post) + Surfline Premium (live, via Chrome session).
Condition Gauges — 5:45–8:00am window
Tide — Tuesday July 14 (La Jolla 9410230)
low-to-mid window (Tippers/Ponto, 0–3ft)Chris's session windows (5:30–8:30am / 4–6:30pm)tide height
Stoke Meter
Tippers and South Ponto both score a clean 100 today — same swell window, same tide, all four factors passing at both. Tippers gets the nod on the reef-over-beach-break tiebreak, and the kelp keeps it groomed once the onshore fills in after 7am; Ponto is an equally good backup once the Cardiff pack thickens. Blacks, Cliffs, Oceanside Harbor, and Windansea are all sitting out — either the swell angle/period doesn't clear their bar, or (Windansea) the tide is still too low through the whole dawn window.
Days to Watch
Weekend of Jul 18–19 — both Wavecast and Surfline LOTUS are flagging a tropical-driven swell build. Wavecast: a hurricane system could deliver 2ft-overhead to double-overhead surf at south breaks with 19-second periods by Friday evening into Saturday. Surfline's own LOTUS table shows a steady climb from 3–4ft Thursday to 5–7ft by Sunday. Worth checking back mid-week as the model track firms up.