Light, clean SSW swell (202–211° @ 12.5–13.3s) sits squarely in Ponto's 10–14s sweet spot — sandbars organize it into peaks with no closeout risk. Wind stays unusually light all day (~4kt), and the tide is low incoming (1.8ft at 4:16pm rising toward the 10:27pm high) — exactly the low-to-mid window this spot wants. Tippers scores identically today, but Chris already caught a dawn session there this morning and it packs fastest after work — Ponto is the better second session.
Data from daily-surf-brief morning run, re-pulled Wed Jul 15 9:25am PDT (dawn window had already passed) · buoys + NOAA + NWS + Open-Meteo + Wavecast (Tue 7/14 post). Surfline skipped — no Chrome session on automated runs.
low-to-mid window (Tippers/Ponto, 0–3ft)Chris's session windows (5:30–8:30am / 4–6:30pm)tide height
Stoke Meter (late-afternoon window)
South Ponto and Tippers both score 4/4 (angle, period, wind, tide) — Ponto gets the call as the second session of the day since Tippers already got the dawn slot and packs slower after work. Blacks sits out (angle/period miss the canyon window regardless of size), Sunset Cliffs and Oceanside Harbor sit out (wrong angle for this SSW swell — both want W–NW), and Windansea is a genuine maybe: angle/period/wind pass but its 3ft face floor is right on the buoy estimate's edge, so it's left off tonight's board pending confirmation.
Days to Watch
Sun Jul 19 — Wavecast's first hurricane swell, head-high+ at south-facing breaks; Open-Meteo's 9.3s SSW read that day is an early-arrival signal. Fri Jul 17 — southerlies could build to 15–20mph ahead of the weekend swell. Today's 46086 buoy is running bigger (3.0ft) than the nearshore buoys — a small bump may reach the coast by this evening's window.