Sat Sep 26 · first light 6:15–7:30am · 6'3" Sci-Fi 2.0
Odalys SSW groundswell (~205–212° @ 12–13s) holds or peaks, with a small WNW underneath. Expect 3–4ft faces, waist to chest with bigger sets (Surfline LOTUS 3–4ft+; today's cam saw 2–3ft). Dawn is glassy, 0–5 mph N. The tide sets the clock: ~2.8ft at first light, rising to a 5.5ft high at 9:26am. The reef swamps past ~4.5ft around 7:35am, so be out at first light. It's Saturday on a clean south, so expect a crowd. Backup: South Ponto 4:30–5:30pm if the wind eases. Water 75°F.
Tippers clears all four factors. SSW at 12–13s is the reef's best angle and period, dawn is glassy, and the tide is mid and incoming until ~7:35am. Windansea scores the same on paper, but it's heavier and farther, its mid-tide window closes ~7am, and it's a Saturday with locals. South Ponto fails on tide at dawn (over 3ft by ~6:25am). Sunset Cliffs only gets the S angle marginally. Oceanside Harbor needs NW and has under 1ft of it. Blacks is out: 205–212° misses its south window and the tide is too high.
Days to Watch
Sun Sep 27: Odalys leftovers + early Polo (Surfline Ponto 4–6ft), but it's a work day. Mon–Tue Sep 28–29: big Polo swell. Wavecast has hazard advisories out (rogue waves, coastal flooding with ~6ft high tides). Oct 8–10: Surfline long range shows 6–10ft (low confidence).