Mon Sep 28 · 7:00–8:00am (break on a 0600–1600 shift) · 6'6" Dominator
Odalys SSW (~200–207° @ 12s) holds, Polo's steep 160° hurricane swell stacks on from ~8am, NW windswell underneath: chest to head high, bigger Polo sets (Surfline Cardiff 3–4+ at 6am, 4–5 by noon). Glassy to 5 mph early; onshore 10–15 mph by noon, 20–25 afternoon. Tide is the clock: ~3.3ft at 7am, 4.5ft by ~8am, 6.0ft high at 10:20. Rogue sets + strong rips: sit wide. Water-contact advisory (Marie runoff). Runner-up: South Ponto 7am (fat on the rising tide). Water 74°F.
Tippers clears all four factors at the 7am break: SSW 12s is the reef's best angle, wind is ≤5 mph, and the tide is ~3.3ft incoming until it swamps past 4.5ft around 8am. Windansea ties on paper but is the farthest drive and a rogue-wave reef on a Polo day. South Ponto misses on tide (over +3ft and rising). Sunset Cliffs only gets the S angle marginally. Oceanside Harbor needs NW with real period. Blacks is out: 12s is too short and Polo's 160° misses its window. Afternoon breaks lose to 15–25 mph onshore.
Days to Watch
Tue Sep 29: Polo holds + NW groundswell (17s) with light AM offshores, but it's your 0400–1900 15-hour day. Wed Sep 30: Polo fades to chest–head+, AM offshores; 0600 shift, 7am break. Thu Oct 8–Sat Oct 10 (off days): back-to-back SW groundswells (210° 16s); Surfline Ponto 6–8ft Sat 10/10. Plan around this one.