Thu Nov 5 · day off · 10:45–11:45am · 6'3" Firewire Sci-Fi 2.0
2nd option: Blacks · 11am–noon · 6'8" Spaceship — bigger (~5–6ft) and hollower on the canyon-focused WSW, but a one-hour window and at your size cap
SSW 210–225° @ 14s (~3.3ft) with a smaller WNW @ 15s and NW windswell crossing it = combo, "more defined peaks" (Surfline). Light E/NE at dawn, calm 8–10am, W 5mph at 11, 10mph from noon. Dawn is a wash: tides running +1.4ft high make the 6:23am high ~6.9ft actual; under 3ft only after ~10:45am. The north-jetty lefts should go hollow as it drops. Water ~76°F.
Ponto north-jetty lefts (Tier A) — SSW 210° @ 14s in the SW recipe, buoy 46224 confirms SW 15s; WNW adds peaks. Tide 2.9→2.4ft 11–11:45am, wind ≤4kt till ~11:30. Crowded.
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Blacks South Peak (Tier A ≤6ft) — WSW/SSW 225° @ 14s = canyon's strongest focus (46225 confirms). Tide ≤3ft from 11am; onshore by noon. ~5–6ft, at the cap.
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Oceanside Harbor (Tier A) — combo setup, but the WNW piece is thin; tide falling past mid.
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Seaside / Tabletops rights (Tier B) — SSW in recipe; low-mid tide only after 11am as wind turns.
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Windansea left (Tier B) — solid SSW, mid tide 10–11:30am, but Surfline only POOR_TO_FAIR.
Condition Gauges — session time
Tide — Thu Nov 5, actual-expected (tides running +1.4ft high)
low-to-mid window most spots need (−1 to 3ft)session windows (5:30–8:30am / 4:00–6:30pm); the call 10:45–11:45amactual-expected tide (prediction + 1.4ft)
Stoke Meter
Five spots are 🟡 (falling tide is the shared weak factor), so labels cap at ON. Ponto wins the tiebreak: closer, combo-friendly bars, and a 🎯 north-jetty setup. Sunset Cliffs 🔴 (S is its weak angle), capped at MEH.
Days to Watch
Fri Nov 6: "another fun morning, light offshore early, peaky" (Surfline) — but 7.2ft actual high at 6:50am, so late morning again. Sat–Sun Nov 7–8: head-high NW ground swell, standouts +1ft overhead (Wavecast, 305° @ 17s); mild Santa Ana peaks Sat. Nov 13: "first proper run of WNW swell" (Surfline); bigger NW also tracked for 11/11 and 11/15. Rain likely from 11/12.